A prediction market
you play with friends.
Every pick carries a live price from our model — buy YES or NO, settle on real stats, and climb your league's standings. No deposits, no payouts, ever. Just the sharpest read winning.
Free forever. No purchases, no payouts, no real-money wagering.
What's on the board
FedEx St. Jude Championship
FedExCup playoff opener. Top 70 only, no cut — every player goes four rounds.
NFL Season Futures
Team win totals and season-long player numbers. Locks at Week 1 kickoff.
NFL Week 1
Game winners, touchdown ladders, and yardage lines on every Week 1 matchup.
This is a market, not a bracket
Every prediction carries a live price from our model. The price is the probability — and it tells you exactly what you stand to win.
Real prices from the live model. Sign up to actually place them.
Imaginary dollars. Real standings.
illustrative sample dataEvery league gives everyone the same budget of imaginary dollars. Your picks return stake ÷ price when they hit — and the standings track net winnings all season, so the scoreboard measures reads, not bankrolls.
🏈 Your picks — Sweat Equity
Week 3 · @gil_longball| Pick | Stake | Price | To win | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Lamb 100+ rec yds · YES | $2.50 | 40% | $6.25 | open |
| Josh Allen 2+ pass TDs · YES | $2.00 | 25% | $8.00 | won $8.00 |
| NE @ SEA — SEA wins · NO | $2.00 | 52% | $3.85 | lost |
| Season net winnings | +$12.40 | |||
League standings
season to date| Player | Net | Record | Win % | Avg stake | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @upset_machine | +$21.75 | 11–6 | 65% | $1.80 |
| 2 | @gil_longballYOU | +$12.40 | 9–5 | 64% | $2.10 |
| 3 | @chalk_eater | −$1.10 | 12–10 | 55% | $1.30 |
| 4 | @wingus_and_dingus | −$6.85 | 4–11 | 27% | $2.60 |
Why this beats the office pool
Everyone gets the favorite
In a golf pool, one lucky draw walks off with the world No. 1. Here the whole league can back him — or fade him — at different stakes, different lines, even opposite sides. Your edge is your read, not your draft slot.
A bad week costs a week, not a season
No drafted player to lose in September, no waivers, no bye-week babysitting. Budgets reset every week, and leagues can run any stretch of the season — join mid-year and play every remaining week.
Prices can't be pushed around
Every price comes from the model, not the crowd. Your league piling onto a pick doesn't move the line — no whales, no vig, no manipulation. Just a probability you either beat or don't.
All the sweat, none of the money
Free to play — no entry fees, no payouts, nothing to collect. Safe for the group chat and the office league. The only thing at stake is bragging rights, and those carry.
How it works
Start a league or join one
Create a league and share the invite code, or drop in with a friend's code. Everyone gets the same budget of imaginary dollars.
Buy YES or NO at the model's price
Every prediction is priced by our model, not by a bookmaker. A 25% price means the model gives it a 1-in-4 shot — and pays 4× if you're right.
Write your own predictions
Pick any player we cover, choose a stat, set your own line. The model prices it instantly and the whole league can trade it.
Settle on real results, climb the standings
Markets settle automatically on official stats. Standings rank net winnings, so the sharpest read wins — not the biggest bankroll.
The original fantasy prediction league.
Takes a minute to set up. Bring friends, set a budget, and see who actually reads the game.